Villarreal will be desperate to bounce back from their loss to Real Betis, but Mallorca are a very good side, and we are struggling to back the hosts to lose. There has also been one draw in the last eight league meetings between these two sides, but we are expecting the points to be shared here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
-0.49) 
0.53) 
