Villarreal travel to Vallecas off the back of three consecutive victories, and we think they will continue their winning run against a Rayo side that have lost their last three games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
34.26% ( -1.39)	24.7% ( 0.07)	41.04% ( 1.32)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37% (

-0.59)

44.63% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01% (

-0.57)

66.99% (

0.57)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-1.06)

25.33% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-1.48)

60.11% (

1.48)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

0.38)

21.75% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

0.58)

54.94% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 34.26%

Villarreal 41.04%

Draw 24.7%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.04%