Rayo Vallecano may have more to fight for than Mallorca on the final day as they seek to upset the Europa Conference League apple cart, but unless Iraola can fix his side's away-day misfortunes overnight, the visitors are destined to fall short.
Aguirre's side have also made up for shortcomings on the road with dominant showings on their own patch, and we are backing such a trend to continue, allowing Mallorca to jump up the rankings on the final day while dashing Vallecano's dreams of continental football.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
-1.81) 
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