Given Villarreal's recent run of high-scoring home wins, we expect Setien's men to secure a fifth victory in six matches at the expense of Cadiz, who are on course to suffer a third consecutive away defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
-2.09) 
1.11) 
