Given the impressive form of the hosts, we certainly do not see this being an easy victory for Los Blancos, but we do ultimately expect them to get over the line. Ancelotti's men will be full of confidence following their Champions League progression and Sunday's turnaround, and, with the chance to move within seven points of the title, we back them to take all three points in a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
17.48%	23.33%	59.19%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.22%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.25%

43.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.08%

79.92%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53%

17.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06%

47.94%

Score Analysis

Osasuna 17.48%

Real Madrid 59.18%

Draw 23.33%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.32% 2-1 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.48%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-4 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-5 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.18%