After two very polarising results so far in pre-season, it is unclear what Atletico will show up here, but they will be tested by an always competitive Real Sociedad side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
55.61% ( 0.36)	24.31% ( 0.21)	20.08% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

-1.49)

52.86% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-1.29)

74.47% (

1.29)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

-0.42)

18.9% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62% (

-0.71)

50.38% (

0.72)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

-1.46)

40.92% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.51% (

-1.33)

77.49% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.6%

Real Sociedad 20.08%

Draw 24.31%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.6%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.08%