In what is the true definition of a dead rubber, neither Sociedad nor Sevilla will deploy their strongest starting lineups at Reale Arena, where fans should prepare for a relatively uneventful encounter between two sides who already have an eye on their holidays.
Alguacil's side may still look to take advantage of their visitors' weary and jet-lagged legs, but with the hosts also sure to give minutes to their peripheral players, we can only envisage the Champions League qualifiers happily shaking hands on a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.