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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
SL

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Sevilla

Mendez (28'), Cho (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamela (77')
Hormigo (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Roma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 31 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Real Sociedad 0-0 Sevilla

In what is the true definition of a dead rubber, neither Sociedad nor Sevilla will deploy their strongest starting lineups at Reale Arena, where fans should prepare for a relatively uneventful encounter between two sides who already have an eye on their holidays. Alguacil's side may still look to take advantage of their visitors' weary and jet-lagged legs, but with the hosts also sure to give minutes to their peripheral players, we can only envisage the Champions League qualifiers happily shaking hands on a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawSevilla
52.32% (0.73 0.73) 26.81% (0.191 0.19) 20.87% (-0.922 -0.92)
Both teams to score 42.32% (-1.556 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.18% (-1.438 -1.44)60.82% (1.435 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.14% (-1.093 -1.09)80.85% (1.091 1.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.294 -0.29)23.48% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.431 -0.43)57.51% (0.43 0.43)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.31% (-1.815 -1.82)44.68% (1.812 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (-1.498 -1.5)80.68% (1.497 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 52.31%
    Sevilla 20.87%
    Draw 26.8%
Real SociedadDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 15.2% (0.67 0.67)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.49% (0.548 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Girona
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Real Madrid
Tuesday, May 2 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Roma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 31 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-0 Betis
Sunday, May 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Juventus
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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