This is arguably a bigger match for Real Sociedad, who are attempting to secure a top-four finish. Real Madrid will not want to enter the Copa del Rey final off the back of a poor result, though, and we can see the points being shared, which would not be the worst result for either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.23) 
