Barcelona will not want to take their foot off the gas late in the season, and their record against Real Sociedad cannot be ignored when picking a result here. It is a more important match for the visitors, but we are expecting the home side to emerge victorious by the narrowest of scorelines.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0.83) 
0.37) 
