With home advantage in their favour, Sociedad will feel that they can shake off their recent poor form to keep their hopes of Europa League success alive. However, we are backing PSV to claim the draw that they need to edge out their hosts, potentially finding a late goal to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
