We said: Villarreal 1-1 Manchester United
It will be fascinating to see what type of reaction there is from Man United, who were so poor at Watford on Saturday. A draw would be a decent result for the Red Devils considering that they finish their campaign at home to Young Boys, and we can see the two teams playing out a low-scoring draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
