Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.