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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
BL

Sevilla
0 - 3
Barcelona


Jordan (33'), Angel Carmona (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Raphinha (21'), Lewandowski (36'), Garcia (50')
Dembele (9'), Gavi (13'), Balde (28'), Araujo (75'), Roberto (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona

Sevilla's defensive problems are a concern ahead of this match, and we are finding it really tough to back the home side to get anything from the contest. Barcelona have so much attacking talent, and we are expecting Xavi's side to make it three straight wins in relatively comfortable fashion considering the difficulty of the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawBarcelona
28.1% (-4.045 -4.05) 24.4% (-0.695 -0.7) 47.5% (4.738 4.74)
Both teams to score 56.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (1.082 1.08)45.91% (-1.082 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (1.015 1.02)68.22% (-1.017 -1.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-2.219 -2.22)29.97% (2.218 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (-2.758 -2.76)66.09% (2.757 2.76)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (2.53 2.53)19.42% (-2.53 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (3.988 3.99)51.24% (-3.989 -3.99)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 28.1%
    Barcelona 47.5%
    Draw 24.4%
SevillaDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.796 -0.8)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.664 -0.66)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.779 -0.78)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.461 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.441 -0.44)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.1%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.441 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.82% (0.812 0.81)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.608 0.61)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.73 0.73)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.192 0.19)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.388 0.39)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.408 0.41)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Real Valladolid
Friday, August 19 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Sevilla
Saturday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Valladolid
Sunday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Man City
Wednesday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, August 21 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Pumas
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Barcelona
Sunday, July 31 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1


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