These are arguably two of the most talented European squads on paper but given that this game does not count for anything, we expect to see a cagey affair between two teams with high expectations both domestically and in Europe this season, who will each want to pace themselves with so many matches left to be played. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Manchester City
35.12% ( 2.68)	23.13% ( 0.03)	41.74% ( -2.72)

Both teams to score 64.44% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.13% (

0.67)

36.87% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.95% (

0.73)

59.05% (

-0.73)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

1.77)

21.25% (

-1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

2.66)

54.16% (

-2.66)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.83)

18.18% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

-1.44)

49.16% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 35.12%

Manchester City 41.74%

Draw 23.13%

Barcelona	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.12%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.39) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.74%