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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Dec 31, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
EL

Valencia
1 - 2
Espanyol

Alderete (51')
Correia (12'), Guedes (19'), Wass (63'), Iranzo (78'), Duro (79'), Cillessen (90+6')
Duro (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Tomas (83' pen.), Puado (88')
Nico (30'), Gil (79'), Pedrosa (90+3')

We said: Valencia 2-1 Espanyol

Valencia, off the back of five straight wins, will be full of confidence heading into this match, and while Espanyol are capable of making it a tricky affair, we are expecting Los Che to put another three points on the board, which would move them into fourth position in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawEspanyol
42.29%27.41%30.3%
Both teams to score 48.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97%57.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08%77.92%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36%26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12%61.88%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.82%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 42.28%
    Espanyol 30.3%
    Draw 27.4%
ValenciaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.3%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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