Alaves and Las Palmas have seen three of their previous four competitive meetings finish all square, and we think they could play out another draw in Sunday's clash, especially as the visitors have drawn two of their first three matches this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.44) 
