Real Madrid will be determined to bounce back from their disappointing performance and result against Man City, but Valencia are fighting for their lives towards the bottom and will enter this game in strong form. It would not be a surprise to see an away win here, but we believe that the points will be shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
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