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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
RV

Valencia
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Kluivert (82' pen.)
Correia (27'), Kluivert (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Comesana (9')
Valentin (23'), Balliu (81'), Catena (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Valencia have picked up important wins in their last two La Liga matches on home soil, while Rayo have struggled for victories in recent weeks. The visitors have drawn nine league games this term, though, including four of their last six, and we can see another stalemate in Monday's contest at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawRayo Vallecano
43.99% (-1.124 -1.12) 26.61% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08) 29.4% (1.208 1.21)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.947 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.883 0.88)54.36% (-0.88 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.731 0.73)75.74% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)24.55% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-0.226 -0.23)59.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (1.393 1.39)33.4% (-1.391 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (1.499 1.5)70.02% (-1.497 -1.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.99%
    Rayo Vallecano 29.4%
    Draw 26.6%
ValenciaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.251 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga


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