This has all the makings of a brilliant match, with Rayo more than capable of picking up a positive result on Monday night. Villarreal's recent league form has been excellent, though, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to secure all three points in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
0.38) 
-0.17) 
