Barcelona's long winning run is going to end at some point, but we are backing them to pick up another victory here. Villarreal are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for the league leaders, but Barcelona have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.24) 
