Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
0.31) 
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