SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
25.28% ( 0.11) | 28.75% ( 0.02) | 45.97% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.01) | 63.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.99% ( 0.01) | 83.01% ( -0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( 0.11) | 42% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.56% ( 0.09) | 78.44% ( -0.09) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.06) | 27.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.08) | 63.49% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.15% Total : 25.27% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 14.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 45.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
