Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
