SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
47.45% ( 0.43) | 25.74% ( -0.19) | 26.81% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.6) | 52.35% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0.51) | 74.04% ( -0.51) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.45) | 22.06% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( 0.67) | 55.41% ( -0.67) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( 0.13) | 34.35% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( 0.13) | 71.06% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
