Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
40.73% ( 0.57)	28.07% ( 0.05)	31.2% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

-0.33)

59.12% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

-0.26)

79.56% (

0.26)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

0.16)

28.48% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

0.2)

64.25% (

-0.2)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

-0.62)

34.57% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71% (

-0.66)

71.29% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Derry City 40.73%

Shamrock Rovers 31.2%

Draw 28.06%

Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 31.2%