Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
54.42% ( 0.09) | 24.69% ( -0.01) | 20.9% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 48% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( -0.05) | 53.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( -0.04) | 74.9% ( 0.04) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( 0.03) | 51.46% ( -0.03) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.66% ( -0.11) | 40.34% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.04% ( -0.1) | 76.96% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.41% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.9% |
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