SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
49.88% ( -0.77) | 27.32% ( 0.32) | 22.8% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 43.2% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.69) | 60.86% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.11% ( -0.52) | 80.88% ( 0.52) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.66) | 24.61% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( -0.93) | 59.12% ( 0.93) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.05) | 42.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.96% ( 0.04) | 79.04% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.21% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.8% |
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