SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
26.93% ( -1.66) | 25.67% ( -0.85) | 47.4% ( 2.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( 2.37) | 51.99% ( -2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( 2.02) | 73.73% ( -2.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.04) | 34.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( -0.05) | 70.75% ( 0.05) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 2.18) | 21.93% ( -2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( 3.21) | 55.21% ( -3.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.4% |
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