SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
52.3% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( 0.09) | 22.98% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.44) | 51.36% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.38) | 73.18% ( 0.39) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.16) | 19.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( -0.27) | 51.57% ( 0.27) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( -0.34) | 37.14% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( -0.34) | 73.93% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.98% |
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