SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
45.42% ( 0.28) | 25.52% ( 0.05) | 29.07% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( -0.38) | 50.14% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( -0.34) | 72.1% ( 0.34) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.03) | 22.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( -0.05) | 55.39% ( 0.05) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.43) | 31.45% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( -0.5) | 67.83% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.07% |
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