Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.49%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.