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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
0 - 2
Waterford


Elliott (76'), Muller (87'), Keogh (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Parsons (19'), McMenamy (43')
Power (29'), Parsons (36'), McCormack (53'), Leahy (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-2 Waterford United

Despite their lowly standing in the table, Dundalk are a tough nut to crack at Oriel Park and will provide Waterford with a difficult test on Friday night. However, with leading marksman Gullan unlikely to be available for the Lilywhites, we envisage a defeat for the hosts as they face the division's leading marksman in Amond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 29.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawWaterford United
41.61% (0.122 0.12) 29.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.03% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)83.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.066000000000003 0.07)66.6% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.107 -0.11)38.93% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.104 -0.1)75.66% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 41.6%
    Waterford United 29.03%
    Draw 29.35%
DundalkDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dundalk
Monday, June 3 at 5.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, May 17 at 8.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Sligo
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Waterford
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-2 Drogheda
Thursday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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