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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
45.33% ( -0.09) | 27.34% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.93% ( -0.01) | 58.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% ( -0.01) | 78.74% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.05) | 25.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( -0.07) | 60.41% ( 0.07) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( 0.06) | 37.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( 0.06) | 73.8% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.32% |
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