Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
23.56% ( -0.17) | 28.5% ( -0.12) | 47.93% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 41.04% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.99% ( 0.27) | 64% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.81% ( 0.19) | 83.19% ( -0.19) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.22% ( -0.01) | 43.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.06% ( -0.01) | 79.94% ( 0.01) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.27) | 27% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.36) | 62.35% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 15.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 47.92% |
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