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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
DC

Dundalk
0 - 0
Derry


Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
FT

Hoban (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-3 Derry City

While Dundalk will be hoping that home advantage can swing things in their favour, facing the division's joint-top goalscorers is unlikely to lead to a positive result. With that in mind, we feel that Derry will run out fairly-convincing victors on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
23.56% (-0.168 -0.17) 28.5% (-0.124 -0.12) 47.93% (0.291 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.04% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (0.19 0.19)83.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.273 0.27)27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.357 0.36)62.35% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 23.56%
    Derry City 47.92%
    Draw 28.49%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 15.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 47.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, May 17 at 8.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 Dundalk
Monday, May 6 at 1pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, May 20 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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