SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
64.66% ( -0.41) | 22.59% ( 0.28) | 12.75% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 38.39% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.71) | 57.58% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( -0.57) | 78.35% ( 0.56) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.4) | 17.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.7) | 47.72% ( 0.69) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.45% ( -0.23) | 53.55% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13% ( -0.14) | 86.99% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 16.26% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 64.65% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.75% |
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