Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
