Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.29%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.6%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.