SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
35.56% ( -0.09) | 28.78% ( 0) | 35.65% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.01) | 61.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( -0.01) | 81.05% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -0.06) | 32.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( -0.07) | 69.12% ( 0.06) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( 0.05) | 32.53% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( 0.05) | 69.06% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.65% |
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