SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
27.66% ( 0.74) | 28.84% ( -0.02) | 43.49% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.39) | 62.91% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% ( 0.28) | 82.4% ( -0.28) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.85) | 39.42% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( 0.78) | 76.11% ( -0.78) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.2) | 28.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( -0.25) | 64.63% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 14.13% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 43.49% |
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