Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
27.66% (![]() | 28.84% (![]() | 43.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.09% (![]() | 62.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.6% (![]() | 82.4% (![]() |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.58% (![]() | 39.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.88% (![]() | 76.11% (![]() |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% (![]() | 28.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.37% (![]() | 64.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 10.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 13.15% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 14.13% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.54% Total : 43.49% |
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