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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
CU

Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge

Presley (83' pen.)
Coyle (73'), Whalley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')
Lankester (28'), Digby (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Cambridge United

We anticipate a hotly-contested affair on Saturday, given the magnitude of the fight for survival, and although both will feel a victory is necessary, they will also be desperate to avoid a defeat, and we see them sharing the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
38.03% (0.78 0.78) 25.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 36.1% (-0.704 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.309 0.31)49.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.274 0.27)71.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.574 0.57)25.51% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.779 0.78)60.36% (-0.779 -0.78)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.343 -0.34)61.82% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.03%
    Cambridge United 36.1%
    Draw 25.86%
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-5 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Accrington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Cambridge
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One


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