Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
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