Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
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