Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.5) 
-0.12) 
