It was a closely-fought encounter the last time these two sides met, with nothing being able to split them on that day. However, Barnsley have been in good form recently and should possess the quality to edge into the next round by a one-goal margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.21) 
