Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
18.23% ( 0.13) | 24.53% ( 0.01) | 57.23% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.07% ( 0.13) | 55.93% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.97% ( 0.11) | 77.03% ( -0.11) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.18% ( 0.24) | 44.82% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.21% ( 0.19) | 80.78% ( -0.2) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( -0.01) | 19.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.71% ( -0) | 51.29% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 14.27% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.23% |
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