Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
