SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
25.2% ( 0.3) | 24.44% ( 0.11) | 50.36% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.2) | 48.22% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.19) | 70.37% ( 0.18) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.14) | 33.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( 0.15) | 70.09% ( -0.16) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( -0.24) | 19.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( -0.39) | 50.83% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.36% |
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