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League One | Gameweek 38
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
PA
Plymouth Argyle

Bolton
0 - 0
Plymouth

FT

Edwards (70'), Wilson (70'), Cooper (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

This is set to be a very close and intense game between two of the strongest teams in the division that are both in great form. However, as the current league leaders Plymouth Argyle will be considered the favourites and should just have enough quality to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.57% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 22.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (0.198 0.2)46.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (0.184 0.18)69.23% (-0.182 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.070999999999998 0.07)17.39% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.12 0.12)47.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.162 0.16)71.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.79%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.64%
    Draw 23.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Bolton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Bolton
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 MK Dons
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One


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