SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
53.79% ( -0.01) | 23.57% ( -0.03) | 22.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( 0.2) | 46.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( 0.18) | 69.23% ( -0.18) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.07) | 17.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( 0.12) | 47.8% ( -0.12) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( 0.15) | 35.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( 0.16) | 71.78% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.64% |
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