SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
62.99% ( 0.31) | 20.87% ( -0.06) | 16.14% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( -0.2) | 44.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0.2) | 67.01% ( 0.2) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( 0.03) | 13.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.37% ( 0.06) | 40.63% ( -0.05) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.44) | 40.71% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( -0.4) | 77.3% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.14% |
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