While Bristol Rovers have struggled in front of goal in the league, Cambridge are yet to win in League One and have conceded seven times in three games, suggesting the hosts could win this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.